The purpose of the trend analysis is to provide key information on the direction, strength and timing of change in the stock price trend in the short, medium and long term. This analysis covers the Top 150 Stocks on the United States stock exchange that are grouped in the BullDude’s Bundles.
This article includes a lot of key data and information on each of the top 150 Stocks covered. Given the enormous amount of data and information, the following 4 sections have been introduced that allow you to access the data through summaries and rankings. This section shows general statistics on the direction and strength of the trend of 150 stocks over all time periods. In particular, it answers to the following questions: This section focuses on the most interesting stocks that have seen a change in the trend direction. The purpose of this section is to answer the following question: This section consists of 3 rankings, one for each time period, which allow you to know the 10 stocks with the strongest positive and negative trend. The purpose of this section is to answer the following questions: In addition, it includes a fourth ranking that shows the companies with the strongest completely positive (and negative) trend, i.e. a trend that has the same direction both in the short, medium and long term, unlike the 3 previous rankings which focus each on the short, medium or long term trend. The fourth and final section shows, for each of the top 150 stocks, the direction and strength of the trend for each time period; short, medium and long term. The purpose of this section is to answer the following questions: Below is an explanation of how it is determined whether the trend is positive or negative, whether it is a weak or strong trend, and whether the trend has changed direction from negative to positive or vice versa. In addition, it is explained how this type of article allows you to view several interesting cases concerning stocks price trends such as “Buy the Dip” or “from Heaven to Hell”, that is a situation in which the stock price of a company passes from being completely positive (short, medium and long term) to be completely negative, passing through the different phases, so that first the short term trend becomes negative, then the medium term one and finally the long term one. The direction of the stock price trend is determined by comparing the average price of the last 5 days (5-Day Moving Average) with the average price of the following periods: The stock price is in a positive trend if the 5-Day MA (Moving Average) is higher than the average price of the 3 periods seen previously, while if it is lower it means that the price is in a negative trend. So, in summary: Positive Trend: Here is a real example of how Apple’s Short-Term Trend is determined and shows when it goes from negative to positive. The example shows only the case of the short-term trend (therefore using the 20-Day MA) because the concept is the same in the case of medium and long-term trends, the only thing that changes is the use of the 50-Day MA and 200-Day MA respectively: Case 1 – Negative Trend: Case 2 – Positive Trend: In the previous section we discovered how to determine the direction of the trend based on the position of the 5-Day MA relative to the moving averages that represent the trend in the short term (20-Day MA), medium term (50-Day MA) and long term (200-Day MA). If the 5-Day MA is higher then the trend is positive, while if it is lower the trend is negative. Consequently, the strength of the trend is determined on how far the 5-Day MA diverges from the other 3 Moving Averages. The more the price of the last 5 days accelerates compared to that of the last 20/50 or 200 days, the greater the strength of the trend. Taking the example of the previous section on Apple’s short-term trend, and focusing only on the positive trend for simplicity, we distinguish 2 different cases: Weak Trend and Strong Trend. Case 1 – Weak Trend: Case 2 – Strong Trend: In conclusion, within the article we find the strength of the trend (that 1.5% and 4.5% previously seen) for each of the top 150 stocks and for each of the 3 time periods (Short, Mid and Long Term). Below is an example table of how these data will appear, where Apple shows a positive trend in the short, medium and long term, while Amazon has a negative short-term trend, a classic situation that is often identified as “Buy the Dip”, that is a company with strong stock price growth in the medium to long term but with short term weakness. Furthermore, within the article there are rankings based on the strength of the trend in the short, medium and long term. In the section on determining the direction of the trend we found that it is based on the position of the 5-Day MA with respect to the moving averages that represent the trend in the short term (20-Day MA), medium term (50-Day MA) and long term term (200-Day MA). If the 5-Day MA is higher then the trend is positive, while if it is lower the trend is negative. Therefore, to understand when the trend changes from being negative to positive, it is necessary to wait for the 5-Day MA to change from being lower to higher than the 20/50/200-Day MA and vice versa in the event of a trend passing from positive to negative. In this article, in the case of a transition from a negative to a positive trend, this change is identified with the percentage of strength of the trend that is next to the name of the company that changes from being red in the previous day (because it was a negative trend) to be green in the next day (because the trend becomes positive). In any case, there is a section where the companies that show a change in trend from negative to positive and vice versa are shown, for each period of time. In the following example we show what happens when a completely positive trend, i.e. positive in the short, medium and long term, becomes completely negative and how this situation is represented in this type of article. *”Hell” is not the real continuation of “Heaven”, but they have been taken in different periods because they are useful to represent the concept Heaven = Completely Positive Trend In this type of article a situation like this is represented with green numbers in the short, medium and long term trend boxes: Hell = Completely Negative Trend The passage from heaven to hell consists in the passage from a completely positive trend (case 1) to a completely negative one, passing through the various steps, i.e. that first the short-term trend becomes negative (case 2), then the medium-term one (case 3) and finally the long-term one (case 4). Below is Apple’s sample chart that fully represents this situation. Case 1: FULL Positive Trend Case 2: New Short-Term Negative Trend Case 3: New Mid-Term Negative Trend Case 4: New Long-Term Negative Trend In the following image a representation of what would happen to the tables found in this article during the period in which the various cases occur. The numbers inside the table are invented and are for educational purposes only: Therefore, this article is very useful for identifying both very positive situations, but also very negative ones and above all the daily update frequency allows you to check every day if the trend loses strength and if it goes in the opposite direction. In this introductory section we take a look at the general statistics relating to the 150 top stocks covered by this analysis. In particular, the purpose of this section is to answer the following 2 questions: In the following image it is possible to understand, for each period of time, the number of stocks that are in a positive and negative trend and know how many stocks have shown a trend change today (New Stocks).
This second section shows the stocks that in today’s trading session showed a change in stock price trend from negative to positive (New Positive Trend) and from positive to negative (New Negative Trend). The 5 most interesting stocks are shown for each of the 3 time periods of the trend; short, medium and long term. In this third section, only the companies with a completely positive trend (therefore positive in the short term, medium term and long term) or completely negative are included. This section differs from the following ones because the latter focus only on the short-term, medium-term or long-term trend, while this section requires that the trends are in the same direction in all time periods. The numbers shown in the table below allow you to identify the direction (positive or negative) and the strength of the trend. The “TOP” ranking shown below contains the 10 stocks with a completely positive trend ordered by the strength of the positive trend, calculated as the average of the strength of the trend shown in the 3 single time periods. In this section we focus exclusively on the Short-Term Trend. The numbers shown in the table below allow you to identify the direction (positive or negative) and the strength of the trend. If you have not yet read the explanation of what these numbers mean, please click below to go directly to the section where it is explained. The “TOP” ranking shown below contains the 10 stocks with the strongest positive short-term trend. In this section we focus exclusively on the Mid-Term Trend. The numbers shown in the table below allow you to identify the direction (positive or negative) and the strength of the trend. If you have not yet read the explanation of what these numbers mean, please click below to go directly to the section where it is explained. The “TOP” ranking shown below contains the 10 stocks with the strongest positive mid-term trend. In this section we focus exclusively on the Long-Term Trend. The numbers shown in the table below allow you to identify the direction (positive or negative) and the strength of the trend. If you have not yet read the explanation of what these numbers mean, please click below to go directly to the section where it is explained. The “TOP” ranking shown below contains the 10 stocks with the strongest positive long-term trend. In this fourth and last section we find the data on the direction and strength of the short, medium and long term trend for each of the 150 top stocks that are covered by this analysis. As additional information there is also the item “Distance to 52-Wk High”, useful for understanding how much the company’s price must increase to return to the maximum price reached in the last 52 weeks. Exclusive Content Are you a member? Login If you are NOT a member keep reading! In BullDude.com Membership you will find exclusive content in one place:
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Summaries and Rankings
1. General Statistics
2. Trend Changes of The Day
3. Top & Flop by Trend Strength
4. Trend of the Top 150 Stocks
Explanation of Key Terms
How is the DIRECTION of the Stock Price Trend determined?
20-Day Moving Average
50-Day Moving Average
200-Day Moving Average
5-Day MA HIGHER than 20/50/200-Day MA
Negative Trend:
5-Day MA LOWER than 20/50/200-Day MAReal Example: Apple Inc (AAPL)
In this time period Apple’s short-term trend is negative because the 5-Day MA (red line) is LOWER than the 20-Day MA (black line). So, in these cases, in the article, a red-colored percentage will appear in the table, indicating the presence of a negative trend. Whether the number is high or low will depend on the strength of the trend, but we will learn more about it in the dedicated section.
In the middle of the image there is a vertical dashed red line indicating the moment when the short-term trend changes from negative to positive. This is because the 5-Day MA (red line) for the first time becomes HIGHER than the 20-Day MA (black line). In this case, a green-colored percentage will appear in the table.
How is the STRENGTH of the Stock Price Trend determined?
Real Example: Apple Inc (AAPL)
In this case we are talking about a weak positive trend because the 5-Day MA is only 1.5% higher than the 20-Day SMA, especially because the short-term positive trend has just begun.
After several trading sessions, Apple’s 5-Day MA accelerates and in fact we are talking about a strong positive trend because this time the 5-Day MA is 4.5% higher than the 20-Day MA, so the trend is 3 times stronger compared to the previous case (4.5% vs 1.5%).
How to determine when the Stock Price Trend CHANGES DIRECTION?
Example: from Heaven to Hell
In this case, Apple’s stock price is in a completely positive trend, i.e. the 5-Day MA is above the 20-Day, 50-Day and 200-Day MA. Below is the example chart:
The first case takes up the previous section called “Heaven” where the trend is positive in all time periods because the 5-Day MA is higher than the 20-Day MA, 50-Day MA and 200-Day MA.
The second case represents the moment in which, starting from a completely positive trend situation, the Apple stock price starts to drop and the 5-Day MA ends below the 20-Day MA and therefore the short-term trend becomes negative, while the mid-term and long-term ones remain positive, even if their strength is lower.
The third case represents the moment in which Apple’s stock price continues to drop and the 5-Day MA also falls below the 50-Day MA and therefore also the medium-term trend becomes negative along with the short-term one, while the trend in the long term it can still be defined as positive, even if it has lost a lot of strength, a situation that can be easily identified in the tables shown.
The fourth case represents the moment in which we reach hell, therefore from a completely positive trend we pass to a completely negative one. In fact, Apple’s stock price continues to drop further and the 5-Day MA also falls below the 200-Day MA and thus the long-term trend turns negative, along with the short and medium one.
1. General Statistics
2. Trend Changes of The Day
3. Top & Flop by Trend Strength
– All-Term Trend –
If you have not yet read the explanation of what these numbers mean, please click below to go directly to the section where it is explained.
Go to the explanation of the key terms
The “FLOP” ranking refers to the 10 stocks with the completely negative trend and are ordered according to the strength of the negative trend.
3. Top & Flop by Trend Strength
– Short-Term Trend –
Go to the explanation of the key terms
The “FLOP” ranking refers to the 10 stocks with the strongest negative short-term trend.
3. Top & Flop by Trend Strength
– Mid-Term Trend –
Go to the explanation of the key terms
The “FLOP” ranking refers to the 10 stocks with the strongest negative mid-term trend.
3. Top & Flop by Trend Strength
– Long-Term Trend –
Go to the explanation of the key terms
The “FLOP” ranking refers to the 10 stocks with the strongest negative long-term trend.
4. Trend of the Top 150 Stocks
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