Dollar General Corp (DG) | Score-Card Analysis

This Score-Card analysis of Dollar General Corp (DG) attributes an Overall Score to a company by analyzing several aspects that I consider to be among the most important.

In summary, a company to have an overall score close to 100% must have the following characteristics:

  • Report high growth rates in the last 3 years (and in the last quarter) in terms of Revenue, Gross Profit, Operating Income and Net Income. Furthermore, it must operate with high and improving margins in recent years.
  • Analysts expect Earnings Per Share (EPS) and revenues to grow in the short term (in the next quarter) and in the medium to long term (in the next 5 years). Moreover, they expect the company to be undervalued at current prices and in the last quarter their EPS expectations must have been beaten with a consequent rise in share prices.
  • The stock price of the company must have outperformed the S&P 500 index and in the last 3 months the Hedge Funds and Insiders bought shares in the company.

The overall score ranges from 0% (if the characteristics listed above are all very negative) to +100% and it is unlikely that there will be a company with a +100% score because the requirements for achieving this score are very high, however a score higher than +70% can be considered good.

The purpose of this analysis is purely informative.


Score-Card analysis of Dollar General Corp (DG)


Summary

  • Overall Score: +70,2%
  • DG has outperformed the S&P 500 index since the beginning of the year.
  • The excellent score is due to continuous growth in recent years with Revenue up 33.8% compared to 3 years ago (Quarterly Revenue + 8.9% compared to 12 months ago).
  • Despite a decline in the Operating Margin over the past 3 years, the Net Margin improved by 5.7%, leading to a 41.5% increase in Net Income in the same period (Quarterly Net Income + 9.4% compared to 12 months ago).
  • Analysts expect growth to continue in the coming years, estimating an annual EPS growth of 10.8% for the next 5 years. Furthermore, they consider DG undervalued by 7.8% at current prices.

Full description

Dollar General Corporation is an American chain of variety stores headquartered in Goodlettsville, Tennessee.

The overall score of DG is 70% .

In the last 6 months, DG has overperformed the S&P500 index by 8,0% and analysts believe the company is undervalued by 7,8% .

In the last quarter, the company reported revenue of 6991,4 million, up by 8,9% compared to the same quarter 12 months earlier. Revenue TTM (Trailing-12-Months) are equal to 27246,2 million, up by 33,8% in the last 3 years.

DG reported an operating income of 491,4 million in the last quarter, an improvement of 11,2% compared to the same quarter 12 months earlier, also reporting an improvement of 2,0% in the operating margin. Considering the sum of the last four quarters (TTM), DG reports an operating income of 2219,9 Million , a growth of 14,4% compared to three years ago and a reduction of -14,5% in the operating margin.

DG reported a net income of 365,5 million in the last quarter, an improvement of 9,4% compared to the same quarter 12 months earlier, also reporting an improvement of 0,4% in the net margin. The TTM net income is 1648,1 million , a growth of 41,5% compared to three years ago and the net margin has improved by 5,7% .

In the next quarter, analysts expect growth in EPS (Earnings Per Share) of 9,2% and a growth in revenue of 7,5% . Furthermore, they expect an annual growth of DG EPS by 10,8% for the next 5 years.

In the last quarter, DG reported better EPS than analysts’ expectations and the stock price reacted by increasing by 1,0% .

Finally, in the last quarter the Hedge Funds have decreased their positions by 18.6k shares.


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Sources & additional info

*The comparison with the S&P 500 index (black line) is visible inside the graph.
*Information updated to the last quarterly report available
*Data in Millions of Dollars
*Data from zacks.com, tipranks.com, reuters.com, finance.yahoo.com
*Company information from wikipedia.com


DISCLAIMER: The information in this blog post represents my own analysis/opinions and does not contain a recommendation for any particular security or investment. Stocks trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor. Trade responsibly.